And count three big reasons to do a shoot on the election in 2014: a relatively low level of the taxes, the narrow edge of the vote in 2012, and that it can now be a struggle not to the bureaucracy and the research and teaching at the college.
“I think that the right measure, going to the right source of income will be a magic combination,” said Democratic strategist Jason Kinney. “And so I think that so many people look at it.”
Kinney is part of a group that includes Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom is now backing an initiative to add $ 1 per pack to tobacco tax state, and use the money for college scholarships and financial aid. An early version of the initiative (PDF) was filed last month. It would funnel the money, which could be as much as $ 750 million in the first year, through the help of the Student Committee of California. Her language (no doubt controversial, if it became law) said that tax revenues will be kept separate from the general fund of the state and therefore not transferred to other programs - including the constitutional guarantee for K-12 schools and colleges.
“There’s no reason why the dream of higher education should be out of reach for any hard-working students in California,” says Kinney.
And the tobacco tax would have looked ripe for potential growth. Designed to increase cancer research proposals in June last year, 29, lost less than 24,000 votes out of more than 5 million cast state - one of the closest of initiatives in recent history.
This narrow defeat and went to one of the lowest election turnout in recent years. In the 2014 election cycle, showing all the office staff is likely to be more popular with the voters.
Supporters of Prop 29 increases were significantly depleted the big checkbook tobacco, opened more than $ 45 million. If the Democratic leaning groups can raise more money for the ‘yes’ campaign for the second time, and shortly after expensive election cycle in 2012, will be a key issue.
Big Tobacco, of course, almost certainly they are willing to cash.
“The tobacco industry has shown time and again that they are willing to step forward and fund any attack,” said Republican strategist Aaron McLear.
McLear said, the 2014 campaign will likely discuss whether to increase taxes on tobacco products - which, over time, is likely to decline as fewer Californians decided to smoke - it’s good for college scholarships.
Despite this, the idea of additional support for students and families trying to afford college, UC, CSU, or the formation of a political potency, point well made by the current touring Governor Jerry Brown’s new emphasis on affordable higher education.
Efforts to 2014 tobacco tax are still fairly rudimentary, and several interest groups are currently weighing their own proposals. While many surveys have found a common state public support for a hike in the “sin taxes” on things such as tobacco and alcohol, the initiatives often twisted and turned to the political forces that still appear on the same ballot - and whether voters see enough The offer good outweigh the default skepticism more money out of your wallet.